?? ??? & ??? ??: ??? ?? ??? ???? ?? ??
2026? ?? ??
- ????, ???, ???? ??? ???? ?? ??? ?? ???
???? ??? ???? ????. - ??? ??? ??? ?? ???? ?????, ??? ?? ??????? ????. ??? ??? ??? ??? ?? ? ??? ??? ????? ???, ?? ?????·???·?? ??? ??? ????? ??? ?????? ???? ???? ???? ????.
- ?? ???? ??? ?? ??? ???? ??? ? ????. ???? ?? ??? ?????, ‘?? ??? ???’ ???? ???.?????? ???? ???? ?? ?????(?? ???? ?????? ??? ?? ???? ??? ?? ???), ?? ???? ??????? ?? ??, ??? ???? ?? ???, ???? ?????????? ??? ??? ???. ??? ???? ??? ??????? 10? ??? ?? ??? ??? ???? ???.
?? ? ? ??? ?? ??? ? ????? ??? ??? ??? ?????.?? ?? ??? ??? ?? ???? ??? ?? ??? ?? ????.
?? ??? ???? ?? ??? ??? ????. ???? ????? ????(AI)? ????? ??? ?? ???? ?? ??? ??? ???? ? ?? ????? ?? ?????. AI? ?? ??? ?? ?? ???? ??? ??? ??? ???? ??? ???,???? ??·?? ???? ??? ? ????? ????. ??? ??? ??? ?? ??, ??? ?????? ?? ?? ? ???? ???? ???.
????? ??? ??? ????? ??·???·??? ??? ??? ?????, ??? ?? ??????? ???? ??? ???? ??? ????. ????? ???? ???? ??? ????? ????, ?? ??? ?? ???? ???? ?? ? ????? ??? ??? ????. ? ??, ?? ???????? ?? ??? ???? ?? ? ?? ??? ???? ???? ???? ????.
????? ??, ???? ?? ??? ???? ? ??? ??? ?? ?? ??? ????. ?? ?? ??? ?? ??? ?? ??·??? ??? ??? ???,?? ??? ??? ?? ???? ?? ?? ????? ??? ??? ? ?? ??? ?????.
2026? ??? 2025? ??? ??? ?? ??? ????? ???? ???, ?? ??? ??? ????? ??????. ??? ?????? ??? ???? ??? ??? ???? ??? ? ?? ????? ??? ???? ???, ?? ??? ?? ????? ??, ??·?? ??, ??? ??? ?? ????? ???? ????.
‘?? ??? ????’ ??? ??? ?? ? ?? ??? ????, ??? ?? ??? ?? ??? 2025? 3?3,000? ??? ?? ??? ????, ? ??? 60% ??? ?????, ?? ??, ??? ???? ??? ?????.?
????? ??? ????: ???
??? ??? ? ?? ??? ??? ?? ?????.???? ??? ??? ???? ????, AI? ??? ????? ??? ??? ?? ??? ???? ????, ??? ?? ??? ???? ???? ?? ??? ???? ???????. ? ???? ???·???·??? ??? ? ?? ??? ??? ???????? ??? ?? ????? ????.
??? ??? ?? ??? ???? ???? ?? ??? ???? ?? ?? ???? ?? ?? ???? ??? ????? ?? ??? ?? ???? ????. ??,??? ??? ???? ?? ???? ??? ??? ???? ??? ??? ??? ?? ??? ???? ????. ?? ?? ???? ???? ???? ?? ?????? ? ?? ?? ??? ??? ??? ????? ??, ???? ???? ?? ??? ?? ???? ????? ??? ????? ??? ????? ????????? ????. ? ??? 2026?? ?? ?? 10??? ??? ??? ?????.
??? ?? ??
?? ? ?? ??? ?? ??? ??? ????? AI? ??? ???? ??? ?? ??? ?????.
????? ??? ?? ??? ????? ?? ??? ???? ????, ??? ?? ?? ??? ????? ???? ????(?? 3 ??). ??? ??? ?? ??? ???? ?? ?????. ?? ???? ???? ????(BloombergNEF)? ?? ????? ?? ??? 2035??? 106GW? ?? ??? ???????, ?? ?? 7?? ? ??? ?? 36% ??? ?????.? ???, ??, ???????, ?? ? 4????????? ?? ?????? ??? ????? ??? ? 90%? ?????.? ???? ?? ? ????? ?? ??? 2?? ? ? ?? ??? 2?? ?????, ?? ?? ???? ???? ?? ??? ??? ?????.
?? 3: ?????? ?? ??? ???? ?? ??
???, ??, ???????, ??? 4? ???????? ???????? ??? ???????? ? 90%? ?????.
?????? ?? ??? ???? ?? ??? ???????, ?? ? ??? ?? ??? ???? ????? ???? ???, ?? 2050??? ?? ?? ??? 70% ??? ??? ??? ?????.? ?? ?? ???? ????, ??·?? ? ?? ??????, ???? ???? ?? ?? ???? ?? ?? ?? ??? ?? ?? ??? ????? ????.?? ??? ??? ?? ?????? ??????.
???? ???? ?? ?? ??? ???? ???? ???, ??? ??? ??? ?? ??? ??????. ??? ??? ????? ?? ?? ?? ????? ?? ??? ????, ?? ?? ??? ?? ???? ??? ?? ?? ??? ? 20%? ?????.????? ???? ?????? ?? ???? ????? ?? ?? ??? ???? ??? ?? ??? ?????.
‘?? ??? ????’ ??
??? ??? ?? ???? ??? ?????? ???? ???? ???? ??? ??? ?? ?? ????. ?? ??? ?? ??? ??? ‘?? ???????’ ??? ???? ?? ??? ??? ???? ????.
??? ???? ??? ??? ?????
?????? ?? ?? ??? ??? ??? ?? ?? ??? ????, ?? ?? ??? ??? ??? ?????. ??? ? ?? ????? ?? ?? ?????? ??? ??? ???, ?? ? ????? ????? ??? ?? ?? ??? ?? ??????.
??? 2026?? ? ???? ?????? ?? ???? ????? ?? ? ??? ??? ??? ?????. ???????(IEA)? 2026??? ???? ??? ? ?? ?? ??? ? 20%? ??? ??? ?????, ?? 10? ? ?? 5? ??? ??? ?????.?? ??, ????? ?? ?? ??? 2030??? ??? 2?? ??? ?????.
?? ?? ???? ??? ?? ????? ??? ?? ???? ???? ??? ??? ???, ?????? ??? ??? ???? ???? ??? ?? ??? ?? ??? ????? ???? ???, ? ??? ?? ??? ??? ????. ? ??? ?? ???? ??????, ?? ?? ???? ???? ???? ?? ?? ??? ????? ??? ???? ????.
?? 1?? ??? ?? ??? ?? ?? ????? ??? ??? ??? ????. ??? ?????? ???? ??, ??? ?? ???, ?? ????? ??? ?????? ??? ??? ???? ????. ?? ??? ?? ??? ??? ????? ??? ??2020?? ??? ?? ??? ???? ????? ???? ??, ????? ???? ??? ???? ???? ????. ??? ?? ??? ????? ??????, ????? ??? ??·?? ??? ??????? ??? ??? ???? ???? ?????? ??? ????.
??? ?? ??? 24?? ?? ?? ??
???? ??·??? ?? ??? 24?? ???????? ???? ??, ??? ?? ??? ?? ????? ????. 2016? ?? ??? ? 95% ?????,?? ????? ? ?? ?? ?? ??? ?? ?????? ???????.
???? 24?? ????? ??? ??? ? ?? ???, ?? ??? ??? ?? ??? ???? ??????? ??? ???? ?? ????? ?? ???? ?????. ??? ??? ?? ???? ?????? ?? ?? ??? 2026??? ?? ??? ??? ?????. ??, ??? ? ?? ??? ?? ???? ??·???? ??? ?? ?? ?? ? ?? ??? ?? ???? ?? ???? ????. ?????2026??? ?? ??? ???? ?? ?? ?? ? ?? ??? ??? ??? ?? ??? ?????.??
2030??? ??? ??? ??? ?? ? ? ?? ??? ????? ??? ??? 2?? ?? ??? ????, ?? ???? ??? ??? ???? ?? ??? ??? ?????(?? 4 ??).
?? 4: ???? ?? ???? ?? ??? ?? ??
??? ???? ???
??? ???? ???·??? ???? ??? ???????, ?? ??? ??? ??? ??? ???? ???? ?? ? ???? ???? ????. ????? 2030??? ?? ??? 10? ??? ??? ????? ?????14, ???? ????? 2017??
? ???? ?? ??? ?? ?? ?? ??????(Westinghouse)? ?? ?? ????? ????? ?? ?? 800? ??? ?????? ??????. ??, ???, ??, ???? ? ?? ??? ?? ???? ?? ???, ? ????? ?? ?? ???? ??
??? ?? ?? ???? ???? ???? ????. ??? ???? ?? ?????? ??? ?? ??? ?? ??? ??? ???? ???, ?? ?? ??? ??? ??? ???? ??? ?????.
??? ?? ?? ?? ?? ???? ??? ?? ??? ??? ??? ??? ?????. ????? ??????? ?? ??? ?? ?? ?? ??? ???? ???? ??? ??? ???? ???, ?? ????? ???? ??? ?? ???? ?? ?? ???? ?? ??? ??·?? ???? ????? ??? ?? ??? ???? ????.
?? + ?? ??: ???? ?? ?? ???? ??
????? ??? ?? ??? ??? ???? ?? ???? ?? ??? ???? ????. ??? ?? ??? ???? ???? ??? ???, ?? ?? ? ???? ??? ??? ??? ???? ?? ????? ??? ??? ???? ????.
??? ?? ?? ? ??(CCS) ??? ???? ?? ???? ???, ? ??? ??? ??? ?? ? ???? ???? ??? ??? ??? ???? ??? ? ????. ?? ??? ?? ?? ??? ???? ?? ???? ??? ????(Entropy)? Glacier CCS ??? ?? ?????15 CCS? ??? ???? ???? ???, ????? ???? ???? ???? ?? ????? ???? ? ???? ????.
?? ???? ??? ??? ???? ??
??? ?? ?? ???, ???? ??? ??? ???? ??? ? ??? ??? ????. ??? ?????? ?? ??? ??? ???? ???(eFuel)? ???????? ?? ?????? ????, ??·??·??? ??? ?? ?? ??? ?????. ????? ????(Infinium)? ?? ?? ?? ??? ????(??? ? ?? ??? ?? ??? ?? ??) ??? ?? ??? ??? ??? ???? ??? ?????. ?? ??? ?? ??? ?? ?? ??? ?? ??? ??? ??? ??? ???? ?? ?? ??? ???? ????. ??? ??? ????? ? ?? ??? ????, ?? ??? ??? ??? ???? ??? ??? ????.
??? ??? ?? ????? ??
???? ? ??? ???? ??? ??? ??? ?? ????. ???? ?? ?? ??? ??? ? ??? ?? ?? 2024? ? ??? ?? ?? ??? 3,900? ??? ???????.?? ???? ????, ??? ??? ??? ?? ??? ?? ?? ?? ? ??? ?? ??? ????. ?? ??? ??? ???? ????, ???? ???? ?? ?? ??? ??? ? ?? ??? ?? ??? ??? ??? ???? ????.
????
???? ‘?? ??? ????’ ??? ?? ?? ??? ?????. ?? ??? ?? ??, ?? ??? ?? ??? ???? ??? ????? ???? ??? ???? ?????. ?? ? ??? ??? ??? ??? ???? ???? ???? ??? ???? ???? ?? ????? ??? ??? ? ????.
???? ?? ??? ???? ?? ??? ???, ?? ?? ???? ??? ????? ?? ??? ???? ??? ?? ??? ??? ??? ?? ?????. ?, ???? ?? ?????? ?? ??? ????, ???? ???? ??? ? ???? ?? ?? ??? ???? ???. ?? ?? ??? ?????, ?? ????? ????? ??? ????? ??? ??? ??? ?? ??? ?? ??? ??? ???? ??? ? ????.
??? ??? ???? ??? ??? ?? ???? ??? ?? ??? ??? ??? ??? ??? ???? ??? ??? ??? ??? ????? ???? ????.
Endnotes
- IEA, “World Energy Investment 2025,” June 2025.
- BloombergNEF, “AI and the Power Grid: Where the Rubber Meets the Road,” December 1, 2025.
- S&P Global, “2025 Corporate Renewable Energy Update,” February 2025.
- BloombergNEF. Data shows net growth from 2024, not including legacy demand.
- IEA, “Growth in global electricity demand is set to accelerate in the coming years as power-hungry sectors expand,” February 14, 2025; IEA, “World Energy Investment 2025,” June 5, 2025.
- IEA, “Electricity Mid-Year Update 2025,” July 2025.
- Bloomberg NEF.
- Deloitte, “2026 Renewable Energy Industry Outlook,” October 2025.
- World Nuclear News, “Trump sets out aim to quadruple US nuclear capacity,” May 24, 2025.
- Entropy Inc. website, as of November 2025.
- BloombergNEF, “Global Investment in the Energy Transition Exceeded $2 Trillion for the First Time in 2024,” January 30, 2025.
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